The Jets came through for us in flying colours last night, downing the Blues 6-3 in St. Louis to easily cash our Winnipeg +0.5 regulation play and move us to 5-3 in the playoffs.
As we noted in the writeup, Winnipeg has shown a tendency the last couple of years to respond well when times are tough, and the Jets dominated last night from the opening puck drop. After Jordan Binnington was lit up for 6 goals, it’ll be interesting to see if the young netminder suffers any carry-over effect in Game 4 tomorrow night.
There’s 4 games on tap again tonight, including the Canes looking to avoid an 0-3 hole when they return home to host Washington. We’ve circled that game as our favourite betting opportunity of the night, though we’re also involved in Bruins/Leafs Game 3 in Toronto — and have a plus-money opinion on how to bet the late game between the Flames and Avs in Denver as well.
Good luck on whatever you play tonight, guys!
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Anytime we get a chance to bet the Caps Team Total Over 2.5 at this low of a price, it’s almost an auto-bet. Washington’s offense has been incredibly consistent over the past few months, potting at least 3 goals in 17 of 19 games before a meaningless shutout loss to the Islanders in the regular season finale (when the Caps had locked up the Metropolitan title and sat out several regulars.) When the playoffs began, the Washington attack got right back on track, scoring 3 goals in the opening period of Game 1 alone and then striking for 4 more in an OT win in Game 2.
Goaltending looked like Carolina’s biggest question mark coming into this series and, sure enough, Petr Mrazek has allowed 7 goals on just 50 shots through the first 2 games. He’s getting a vote of confidence with another start in Game 3, but we’re not convinced that Mrazek will suddenly find his game with the stakes tonight at their highest yet in the series. Washington’s scored 3+ goals in each of the last 6 meetings as well as its last 5 trips to Carolina, a trend we don’t see coming to an end here.
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Boston answered the bell in a big way in Game 2, and now it’s the Leafs’ turn to respond. Toronto was pushed around for much of Saturday’s affair and even looked a bit disinterested until it was down 3-0 in the third period, perhaps lacking urgency after already having a win in Boston in its back pocket. We think Mike Babcock has them fired up again in their first home playoff game of 2019, facing an opponent that they beat in 2 of the 3 games in Toronto in last year’s playoffs.
In particular, we’re expecting step-up games from Auston Matthews (virtually invisible in Boston) and William Nylander. Part of that is necessitated by the expected suspension to Nazem Kadri, thinning the Leafs’ depth at centre. Often times, the absence of a key player forces their teammates to bring that much more focus and intensity to the rink to compensate, and that may be all it takes to light a fire under the Leafs’ two talented forwards.
The only way the Leafs can win is if Frederik Andersen is on his game, and he certainly was in the first 2 games in Boston (when Nylander wasn’t teeing up gimme goals for the Bruins, at least.) Having their goalie in top form enables the Leafs to push the pace, which is their biggest advantage against the slower Bruins. This price looks more than fair to back the Leafs to take a 2-1 series lead tonight.
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Opinion: Flames Team Total Under 2.5 +134