Welcome to another season of NHL Tips!
It’s been an enjoyable first two years for the site, especially being able to produce more than +40 units of winners for anyone who has tailed along. Last year, we finished at +14 units on the season over approximately 300 plays, risking one unit on every wager for a very healthy ROI of 4.5%.
Ultimately, however, the goal remains to help you become a better hockey bettor yourself. That’s why we include writeups/information with virtually every bet we post on here, along with the odd article from time to time. Instead of simply spoonfeeding you picks to blindly follow along, our hope is that you learn what to look for when making your own bets. Winning money is always sweet, but it’s that much sweeter when you can do it through your own skills and abilities.
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If you followed us last year, you already know we do a lot of situational handicapping and also focus a lot on recent statistical trends. So we’ll be a bit lighter than usual with our betting picks over the first few weeks of the season, until there’s enough data to draw from. Around the start of November is when we start betting every day ourselves.
We are in action with one game tonight, however, as we can’t resist playing an angle that has been good to us over the years. Read all about it below, and we’ll be back again soon whenever we’ve got any other bets and analysis to share.
Good luck this season!!!
Odds below are at the time we made the pick.
If you followed us last year, you shouldn’t be surprised to see us on this play. But just in case you weren’t on board at the start of last season, here’s an excerpt from the writeup that accompanied our Blues First Period Moneyline +144 winner that got 2017-18 off to a great start.
“Home openers are a very difficult spot for defending Stanley Cup champions.
“Before the game begins, they have to stand through a long and emotional banner-raising ceremony that brings back memories of winning it all a couple of short months ago.
“While the defending champs are feeling nostalgic, the visitors are often going through their normal pre-game routines in their dressing room, then hit the ice raring to go. When the puck finally drops, the home team has to suddenly flip the switch to the current season, making them pretty vulnerable.”
That all sounds good in theory, but what do the numbers say? Well, they speak pretty loudly in support of this logic. Including the Blues’ lead over Pittsburgh through 20 minutes of last year’s season opener, the defending Cup champs have won the first period just once in their last 12 openers. Several times, they gave up a goal before the game was 4 minutes old, and they’ve gone to intermission trailing the game 8 times. For those of you scoring at home, that’s an 8-1-3 first-period angle supporting the visitor over the defending Cup champion in this spot.
If that’s not enough to blindly pull the trigger on Boston here, we also think the Bruins are a better team than Washington, making this +102 price already appealing on its own. Throw in the angle of fading Cup champs in first periods of their home opener, and we like this play a lot.
Note: We personally got +115 odds last night and posted it to our website then (in the featured bet box on the right-hand side of our home page.) The line has since dropped to +102 at Pinnacle as money has come in on the Bruins tonight, and we’ll track this wager at the current price on our public records. As long as you’re getting plus money on this wager, we still recommend it.
We bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Good luck!
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