First of all, happy Thanksgiving to all our American friends. We’re happily typing this post while the Vikings/Lions game is on in the background. Not a bad way to spend the afternoon.
Last night was a lot of fun as well – our picks and leans combined to go 8-2, including a fourth straight Best Bet winner as the Wings beat the Sabres in a shootout.
We actually thought the night might end up better, but we got a couple of bad breaks in the late games. Vancouver and Arizona pushed on the Over 5 despite the score being 4-1 early in the second period, and the Islanders blew the +0.5 in regulation time cover by allowing 3 goals in the final 3 minutes of the third period.
But we also had a bit of luck on our side, winning the Devils and Red Wings in shootouts. The bounces always even out anyway, so it’s never really worth getting worked up about.
Quick note: Before we get into today’s 2 games: we got some great feedback yesterday from a few people about how we can make our daily posts better. We encourage anyone else to chime in with their thoughts on what they’d like to see in our picks and breakdowns (there should be a pop-up window that asks for your feedback, but you can also email us at email@example.com).
Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.
Ottawa’s got a better record than the Bruins, they’re coming off a huge win in Montreal on Tuesday and Zdeno Chara is out for Boston. Yet the Senators are home dogs tonight. So what gives?
There’s two situational factors that puts us on Boston here. The first is that playing without Chara should elevate the focus of the rest of the Bruins. Though he’s not quite the dominant force he used to be, Chara is still a key cog on the Boston blue line and we should see everyone else “step up” their game to make up for his absence tonight.
The second angle we like in this game is the revenge factor. The last time these teams met, Ottawa pounded the Bruins 6-1 in a game Boston needed to win to make the playoffs. We expect the Bruins veterans to use that as motivation against a Senators squad that might be a little too pleased with itself after the impressive win in Montreal (although Ottawa was outshot 39-23 in that game).
We were hoping to get the Bruins at a better price than this, but the fact that oddsmakers opened Boston in this price range suggests that they’re thinking the same thing we are about this matchup.
Bet this game at 5Dimes
Reasons to bet Carolina: The Hurricanes are riding a 5-game winning streak in which they’ve outcored the opposition 14-5. Montreal’s lost 4 of its last 5.
Reasons to bet Montreal: The Canadiens are 11-1-1 at home and Carolina has 3 wins in 10 road outings. Montreal seeks revenge for a 3-2 loss Friday in Carolina, when the Habs outshot the Canes 33-18.
Other things to know:
- Carolina has not allowed a PP goal in 10 games
- Montreal has scored 8 PP goals in its last 8 games
- Montreal has scored 2+ goals in 9 straight games, and 3+ goals in 6 of those 9
- Montreal has allowed 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games
- Carolina has lost 6 straight games in Montreal
- The Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Montreal
- Montreal has won 7 of its last 9 against Carolina
Probable goalies: Ward, Price (confirmed)
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