Saturday, we dropped our Best Bet on the Avalanche (the Avs have been bad to us this season) but the leans on all the other games went a combined 6-3, including a couple of +130 winners.
Today marks one month since we started posting our opinions (leans) on all games, rather than just making picks on a couple of games per day. Since Nov. 5, our picks and leans combined are 102-75 for +19.7 units.
Once again, we don’t recommend you blindly follow every pick and lean we post, but hopefully you’ve followed enough of them to make a profit for yourself. We also hope your own picks are benefiting from reading the breakdowns of every matchup, which illustrate our thought process when handicapping a game.
We’ve received a lot of feedback about the new format, which is great! One suggestion we’ve received from several people is to rate our leans (indicating which ones we’re the most confident in), and that’s something we hope to start doing soon. As always, if you have any ideas or suggestions for ways we can improve these daily posts, please feel free to let us know.
Four games in the NHL tonight. Below is our favourite bet of the day, along with breakdowns and leans for the other 3 contests. Good luck if you’re tailing any of them!
Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.
If the Capitals are fully focused, the Sabres shouldn’t stand much of a chance against them because of the huge disparity in skill. And that’s what we think we have tonight with a Washington team that has lost 3 straight games and should be eager to get back on track at home. Not only have the Caps lost 3 in a row, those losses came against the Maple Leafs, at home to the Islanders, and to a struggling Lightning squad Saturday (though Washington at least earned a point in that game, falling 2-1 in a shootout). The Caps are simply too good to continue these struggles and are overdue to break out, especially offensively as they have just 3 goals in their last 3 games.
Buffalo’s offence awoke last week with the return of Jack Eichel, as the Sabres scored 9 goals in their first 2 games with their star back in their lineup. But Saturday it was back to the same old as Buffalo scored just 1 goal in a 2-1 loss to Boston, marking the 6th time in 9 games the Sabres have been held to 1 goal in regulation time. The Sabres are also scuffling a bit defensively, allowing 9 goals in their last 3 games and allowing 4 goals in 4 of their last 10 outings.
When you take a team to win in regulation time, there’s always the fear that they go to overtime and then win the game. But just one of Washington’s 12 home games have gone to OT (Nov. 3, when they beat Winnipeg 4-3) and we feel it’s safe to risk the regulation time victory here and turn the Capitals from -220 to -123 on the moneyline. (Hopefully we didn’t just jinx ourselves.)
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet Florida: The Panthers have held opponents to 14 regulation time goals in their last 8 games. Boston’s scored just 13 goals in regulation in its last 7 games.
Reasons to bet Boston: The Bruins have earned points in 4 straight games (3-0-1) and allowed just 5 regulation time goals in those 4 games. Florida has 1 regulation time victory since Nov. 7 and has scored only 6 regulation time goals in its last 6 games.
Other things to know:
- Boston beat Florida 2-1 Nov. 1 in Florida
- Florida is 1-9 in its last 10 trips to Boston
- Florida is playing its 5th straight road game and 8th in its last 10 games
- Boston has allowed 7 regulation time goals in its last 5 games and 16 in its last 10
- Boston has scored 2 goals or less in 5 of its last 6 and 9 of its last 11
- The Under is 6-0-2 in Florida’s last 8 games
- The Under is 7-1-3 in Boston’s last 11 games
- The Under is 17-6-6 in the last 29 meetings
Probable goalies: Luongo, Rask (confirmed)
Reasons to bet Ottawa: The Senators have won their last 4 road games and are 6-3 away from home this season. Pittsburgh is struggling defensively, allowing 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games.
Reasons to bet Pittsburgh: The Penguins are filling the net, scoring 26 goals in their last 6 outings. Ottawa is 1-8 in its last 9 visits to Pittsburgh, and the Penguins are 10-2-1 at home.
Other things to know:
- The Under is 16-8 in Ottawa’s games this year
- The Over is 15-6 in Pittsburgh’s games this year
- The Over is 7-0 in Pittsburgh’s last 7 games
- Ottawa is 5-1-1 in its last 7 games
- Ottawa has scored 2+ goals in 7 straight games
- Ottawa has allowed 9 regulation time goals in its last 6 games
- Pittsburgh is 6-0-2 in its last 8 against Ottawa
Probable goalies: Anderson, Fleury (confirmed)
Reasons to bet Arizona: The Coyotes have quietly earned points in 7 of their last 9 games, going 3-2-4 in that span. Arizona has allowed 3+ goals in regulation time just twice in its last 10.
Reasons to bet Columbus: The Blue Jackets have collected points in 10 of their last 11 games and are 14-3-4 since starting the season 0-2. Columbus outshot the Coyotes 60-34 in a 3-2 shootout win Saturday in Arizona.
Other things to know:
- Arizona is 3-6-3 on the road
- Columbus is 8-3-1 at home
- The Under is 12-8 in Arizona’s games this year
- The Under is 14-7 in Columbus’ games this year
- Arizona has gone to overtime in 6 of its last 9 games
- Arizona has allowed 17 goals in regulation time in its last 10 games
- Columbus has outshot its last 7 opponents by 10 shots or more
- Columbus has allowed 6 regulation time goals in its last 4 games and 18 in its last 10
- Columbus has outscored opponents 14-3 in the first period at home this season
Probable goalies: Domingue, Bobrovsky
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