A surreal start to the season continued Saturday as we went 4-0, finishing last week at 9-3 and improving the YTD to 36-18 for +16.4 units.
An ROI of over 30% simply isn’t sustainable over a long season and we’re expecting regression to set in at some point, but the ease with how the plays are hitting right now is definitely encouraging.
The Wild and Rangers both went over their Team Total in the second period and the Senators TT Under 2.5 was the only play we really had to sweat out. Opinions also continue to do well, indicating we’ve got a solid read on things right now.
In case you aren’t aware, Site Supporters get our personal betting card early in the day (typically around 10 a.m. Eastern).
We’ve been on the right side of a lot of line moves lately, so if you’re interested in consistently getting the best possible price on any of our plays/opinions, we recommend becoming a Site Supporter and getting access to the early plays.
On to tonight, where 13 games await. We’ve got breakdowns for all the games, along with opinions on the best way to bet 12 of them. Site Supporters also received our personal four-game card, listed in order of confidence.
Good luck on whatever you play tonight, and let’s hope the good times keep rolling for a little while longer!
Odds below are at the time we made the pick.
Reasons to bet Carolina: The Hurricanes have won 3 straight games, scoring 15 goals during that span. Chicago’s lost 7 of the last 9 meetings and is playing its 3rd game in 4 days.
Reasons to bet Chicago: The Blackhawks are 6-1-2 in their last 9 games. Carolina has given up 3+ goals in 8 of its last 9 road games.
Other things to know:
- Carolina beat Chicago 4-0 Oct. 26 in Carolina
- Carolina has won 3 of its last 4 visits to Chicago
- Chicago has scored 21 goals in its last 4 games
- Chicago has been outshot 174-105 in its last 4 games
- Chicago has outscored its opposition 19-8 in its last 4 home games
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Reasons to bet Edmonton: The Oilers have scored 23 goals in their last 5 games, going 3-1-1 during that span. San Jose has given up 3+ goals in 9 of its last 11.
Reasons to bet San Jose: The Sharks have won 6 straight games. Edmonton has lost 8 of the last 9 meetings, including 4 of the last 5 in San Jose.
Other things to know:
- San Jose beat Edmonton 6-3 last Tuesday in San Jose
- San Jose has scored 28 goals in its last 5 games versus Edmonton
- San Jose has scored 27 goals in its last 5 home games versus Edmonton
- Edmonton has won 3 of its last 4 road games
- San Jose was outshot 28-19 in a 4-3 shootout win over Detroit Saturday in San Jose
- Edmonton has won 6 of its last 7 games on 2 days rest
- The Over is 5-1 in Edmonton’s last 6 games
- The Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings
- The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Jose
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Reasons to bet Winnipeg: The Jets are 6-1-1 in their last 8 games and 7-3 on the road. Nashville has lost 4 straight and 6 of 7.
Reasons to bet Nashville: The Predators look to rebound from an embarrassing 7-2 loss at home to Chicago on Saturday. Winnipeg has given up 17 goals in its last 5 road games, excluding empty netters.
Other things to know:
- Winnipeg has won 3 straight meetings and 5 of the last 7
- Winnipeg scored 5 goals in each of the last 3 meetings last year
- Nashville is 6-3-2 at home
- Winnipeg has scored 4+ goals in 4 of its last 5 visits to Nashville
- Winnipeg has scored 3+ goals in 5 straight road games
- Nashville has outshot its last 2 opponents 78-49
- Nashville has allowed 21 goals in its last 4 games
- Nashville has 2 regulation time wins in its last 9 games
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Reasons to bet Toronto: The Leafs should be desperate to snap a 5-game losing streak, especially coming off a 6-1 loss at Pittsburgh on Saturday. Vegas has allowed 4+ goals in 4 of its last 6 home games and 6 of its last 10.
Reasons to bet Vegas: The Golden Knights’ offense is finally clicking again, scoring 13 goals in its last 3 games after managing just 7 goals in its previous 4. Toronto has allowed 4+ goals in 6 of its last 7 road games, excluding empty netters.
Other things to know:
- Toronto beat Vegas 2-1 in OT Nov. 7 in Toronto
- Toronto has won 4 of the 5 all-time meetings
- Toronto has 1 regulation time win in its last 10 games and 2 in its last 15
- Toronto has allowed 18 goals in its last 4 games, excluding empty netters
- Vegas has scored 3+ goals in 5 straight home games and 9 of 11 this year
- Vegas is playing its 3rd game in 4 days
- Toronto is playing with 2 days rest
- The Over is 7-2-1 in Vegas’ last 10 home games
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Reasons to bet Ottawa: The Senators beat Detroit 5-2 Oct. 23 in Ottawa. Detroit is coming off a 3-game western road trip.
Reasons to bet Detroit: The Red Wings are 3-0-2 in their last 5 games. Ottawa is just 2-7-1 on the road.
Other things to know:
- Detroit is 3-1-1 in its last 5 home games
- The home team is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings
- Detroit has won 6 of its last 7 home games versus Ottawa
- Detroit has scored 15 regulation time goals in the last 10 meetings
- Ottawa has scored 2 goals or less in 8 of the last 10 meetings, excluding empty netters
- Ottawa is averaging 24 shots per game in its last 4 outings
- The Under is 6-1 in Ottawa’s last 7 games
- Detroit has won 5 of its last 7 home games following a road trip of 7+ days
- The Under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings
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Reasons to bet Tampa: The Lightning has scored 20 goals in its last 4 games and 3+ in 5 of its last 6. St. Louis has lost 3 straight and owns just 1 regulation time win in its last 8 games.
Reasons to bet St. Louis: The Blues won both meetings last year and have won 7 of the last 10 overall. Tampa has given up 3+ goals in all but 1 of its 9 true road games this year.
Other things to know:
- Tampa has lost 6 of its last 7 games in St. Louis
- St. Louis has scored 7 regulation time goals in its last 4 games and 2 regulation time goals or less in 6 of its last 9
- St. Louis has gone to OT in 6 of its last 8 games
- St. Louis has 1 regulation time loss in its last 10 games
- Tampa has allowed 3+ regulation time goals in 6 of its last 7 games
- The Over is 11-6 in Tampa’s games this year
- The Under is 5-1 in St. Louis’ last 6 games
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Reasons to bet Colorado: The Avalanche has won 4 of its last 5 games, scoring 4+ goals in each of those victories. The Flames have been blanked in consecutive games, are playing their 3rd game in 4 days and have scored just 3 goals during a 4-game losing streak.
Reasons to bet Calgary: The Flames should bring full focus as they look to bounce back from Sunday’s 6-0 loss at Vegas. Colorado is visiting Calgary for the first time since upsetting the Flames in the first round of last year’s playoffs.
Other things to know:
- Colorado beat Calgary 5-3 Oct. 3 in Colorado
- Colorado is 6-4-1 on the road
- Calgary is 6-2-2 at home
- Calgary is 7-0-1 in the last 8 regular season meetings in Calgary and 12-3-1 in the last 16
- Colorado has allowed 10 goals in its last 2 games
- Colorado has allowed 4+ goals in 3 of its last 4 road games
- Calgary had scored 3+ goals in 8 straight home games before scoring just 3 goals in back-to-back losses to the Blues and Stars
- The Under is 6-2 in Calgary’s last 8 games
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Reasons to bet New York: The Islanders have earned points in 14 straight games and are 5-1 on the road. Pittsburgh has 1 regulation time win over the Islanders in the last 11 meetings.
Reasons to bet Pittsburgh: The Penguins handed New York its only loss in the last 14 games, beating the Isles 4-3 in OT Nov. 7 in New York. The Isles have allowed 7 goals in their last 2 games and 3+ in 3 of 4.
Other things to know:
- New York is visiting Pittsburgh for the first time since sweeping the Penguins in the first round of last year’s playoffs
- New York has scored 3+ goals in 5 straight meetings and in 5 of its last 7 trips to Pittsburgh
- New York rallied from a 3-0 third-period deficit to beat Philadelphia 4-3 in a shootout Saturday
- Pittsburgh is 7-3-1 at home
- Pittsburgh has allowed 6 regulation time goals in its last 5 home games, excluding empty netters
- Pittsburgh has not allowed a power play goal in 9 games
- New York has scored a power play goal in just 2 of its last 9 games
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Reasons to bet Philadelphia: The Flyers are 5-1-3 in their last 9 games. Florida has given up 3+ goals in 7 of its last 9 games.
Reasons to bet Florida: The Panthers are 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings overall and have won 6 of their last 7 home games versus Philly. The Flyers have lost 3 straight and scored just 10 regulation time goals in their last 6.
Other things to know:
- The home team has won 7 of the last 8 meetings
- Philadelphia blew a 3-0 third-period lead Saturday in a 4-3 shootout loss at home to the Islanders
- Philadelphia has scored 2 goals or less in 7 of the last 9 meetings
- Philadelphia has allowed 2 regulation time goals or less in 6 of its last 7 games
- Philadelphia is 4-5-1 on the road
- Florida is 4-2-2 at home
- Florida has allowed 11 goals in its last 3 home games
- Florida has scored 3+ goals in all 8 of its home games this season and 4+ in 5 of the 8 games, excluding empty netters
- Philadelphia has scored 4 goals in its last 3 games at Florida
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Reasons to bet Montreal: The Canadiens are 7-1-2 in their last 10 games. Columbus has lost 7 of 9 and has been off since Friday.
Reasons to bet Columbus: The Blue Jackets have won 5 of their last 6 home games versus Montreal. The Canadiens have scored 2 regulation time goals or less in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Other things to know:
- Montreal beat Columbus 3-2 in a shootout Nov. 12 in Montreal
- Montreal is 5-2-3 on the road
- Columbus is 4-5-1 at home
- Columbus has scored 2 goals or less in 7 of the last 9 meetings
- Columbus has scored 5 goals in its last 4 home games
- The Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings
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Reasons to bet Boston: The Bruins have dominated New Jersey for years, winning 13 of the last 16 meetings. The Devils have won just 3 of their 11 home games.
Reasons to bet New Jersey: The Devils have won 3 of their last 4 games, allowing just 9 goals during that span (excluding empty netters). Boston has lost 5 of its last 6 games and is banged up with injuries, including Bergeron (questionable).
Other things to know:
- Boston beat New Jersey 3-0 Oct. 12 in Boston
- Boston is 1-0-3 in its last 4 games
- New Jersey has earned points in 7 of its 10 home games (3-3-4)
- Boston is 5-3-1 on the road
- Boston was outshot 44-23 in a 3-2 shootout loss to Washington Saturday in Boston
- New Jersey has scored 12 regulation time goals in its last 7 games
- New Jersey has scored 1 goal in the last 3 meetings
- The Under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings
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Reasons to bet Vancouver: The Canucks have won their last 3 trips to Dallas, outscoring the Stars 13-3. Dallas is playing its first home game in 2 weeks.
Reasons to bet Dallas: The Stars are on a 7-0-1 run in their last 8 games. Vancouver’s lost 6 of its last 7.
Other things to know:
- Dallas beat Vancouver 4-2 Thursday in Vancouver
- Vancouver is playing its first game of a 6-game road trip
- The road team is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings
- Vancouver has allowed 5 goals in its last 4 visits to Dallas
- Vancouver has allowed 3+ goals in 5 of its last 6 games
- Dallas has scored 2 goals or less in 6 of the last 7 meetings
- The Under is 15-6 in Dallas’ games this year
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Reasons to bet Minnesota: The Wild is 4-0-1 in its last 5 trips to Buffalo. The Sabres are playing their 4th game in 6 days and have lost 7 of 8.
Reasons to bet Buffalo: The Sabres are 6-2-2 at home. Minnesota is 3-10 on the road.
Other things to know:
- The road team is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings
- Minnesota has lost 6 of its last 9 games
- Minnesota has scored 3+ goals in 6 of its last 7 games
- Buffalo has allowed 3+ regulation time goals in 5 of its last 7 games
- Buffalo has not scored a power play goal in 7 straight games
- Minnesota has been outscored 11-5 in the first period over its last 10 games
- Buffalo has been outscored 15-4 in the first period over its last 10 games