NHL Betting Tips For Tuesday, March 5

Jon and Derek

And we’re back after a brief hiatus 🙂

We’ll elaborate more on Thursday about what’s been happening with the site and what our plans are moving forward.

But for now, we just wanted to get things moving again with a breakdown of the Penguins/Panthers game and other thoughts and opinions for tonight.

Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.

Panthers Logo VS Pick Penguins Logo
Game: Panthers @ Penguins Pick
Time: 7:00PM ET
Pick: Penguins -1.5 +148

It’s been a disappointing season in Pittsburgh, especially by the Pens’ lofty standards. But now that the Penguins are in danger of missing the playoffs entirely, the black and gold seem to be hitting their stride.

Pittsburgh comes into action tonight on a four-game point streak (2-0-2) and with just two regulation time losses in its last 10 (6-2-2). The offense has been firing on all cylinders, potting 16 goals in its last four games and at least 3 goals in 9 of its last 10. Pittsburgh’s coming off a four-game road trip here which isn’t usually an ideal spot to back the home team, but the entire trip was in the eastern time zone, Pittsburgh’s had two days to settle back into home after Saturday’s win in Montreal, and the Penguins can’t afford to bring anything less than full focus to the rink every night right now.

While the Penguins make their playoff push, postseason hopes are slipping away from the Panthers (as usual). Even though the Panthers had a five-game point streak snapped Sunday against Ottawa, the loss to the lowly Sens was Florida’s fourth straight defeat. Worse yet, the Cats have had little time to lick their wounds, playing their third in four nights, fourth in six and sixth in nine tonight. In fact, Florida hasn’t had more than one day off between games since Valentine’s Day.

If there’s one thing the Panthers are doing right these days, it’s scoring goals. They’ve potted at least 3 goals in 9 of their last 10 games (eight times in regulation), and they may find the net a few times tonight against the Pens as well. That actually sets things up well for a play on the Penguins Team Total Over 3.5, since the more goals Florida scores, the more Pittsburgh will need to win the game. We’re hesitant to bet the full game Over here out of concern for how much energy Florida will bring to the table tonight in a fatigue spot, but we’re interested in backing the Penguins one way or another.

The ideal way was to bet the Pens Team Total Over 3.5, but the current -143 price at Pinnacle is hardly a bargain on that. Another option is the Penguins in regulation time (Pittsburgh -0.5 is a more stomachable -117), but the route we’ve decided to go here is laying the -1.5 with Pittsburgh at +148. If the Pens do score four goals and get the job done in regulation time, it also seems pretty likely that they’ll win by margin. 23 of Pittsburgh’s 34 wins have come by 2 goals or more, and 17 of them have been by 3+ goals. The Panthers don’t often get blown out (21 of their 37 losses have been by one goal, including 11 defeats in OT or a shootout), but the fatigue spot and overall mindset of this team make it worth a shot that they do tonight.

Other thoughts and opinions for tonight:

• We’re probably going to pull the trigger on the Minnesota Wild +0.5 in regulation time tonight (-102 at Pinnacle). Nashville gutted out a 3-2 shootout win over the Wild Sunday in Minnesota, but there’s no way the Preds should be laying close to -200 to anyone given their recent form. They’ve scored 2 regulation time goals or less in 13 of their last 20, and it won’t be easy to break out against a Minny defense that has allowed just 17 reg time goals in its last eight.

• The total is high in Winnipeg/Tampa Bay, but the Over 7 at plus money (+125 at Bodog/Bovada and 5Dimes) is still pretty attractive. Winnipeg’s given up at least 3 goals in 8 of its last 9, and we all know what the Tampa Bay offense is capable of. But we think the Jets fight back with some offense of their own, and Tampa’s been a bit softer in its own zone over the last few games against weaker opponents. If you’re after an even bigger score, consider the Jets Team Total Over 3.5 (+131 at Pinnacle).

• Team Total Unders aren’t fun to bet, but the Blue Jackets TT Under 3.5 and Red Wings TT Under 2.5 are worth considering at close to even money. The Jackets are feeling the pressure after management decided to go for it at the deadline, scoring just seven regulation time goals in their last four, and New Jersey’s allowed two or less in three of its last four. Meanwhile, the Wings have lost seven straight and go into Colorado to face an Avs team that has allowed just six reg time goals in its last four home games. Detroit has scored just one goal in its last two meetings with the Avs combined, and just one goal in each of its last two trips to Denver.


Good luck!

Sign up below to get our daily NHL tips sent to your email the minute we post. That way, you will always get the best odds on each game…