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NHL Betting Tips For Thursday, December 5

Jon and Derek

After an unsustainably hot start to the season, we’ve treaded water over the past week, including a 1-1 split (with a push) on Tuesday’s plays.

There are nine games tonight in the NHL, breakdowns and opinions are below (we emailed out our personal 3-game card to Site Supporters this morning).

Before we get to those below, we’ve been getting a few emails about why we often decide to play the half puck in regulation instead of the full game moneyline.

It’s a great question.

We tend to play a lot more +0.5 in regulation than we do taking the full game moneyline because we hate losing games in OT and we prefer to bring down the variance a bit.

Take the Sharks game below for an example. If you bet it, you’re getting half a puck (meaning if they go to OT you win the bet).

You could alternatively play the +145 full game moneyline and see similar value over time.

You’re just going to endure losing some OT games. You’ll hit some too, though, so your long term ROI should be similar whether you play the +0.5 or the full game moneyline.

For Americans, 5Dimes is the absolute best online sportsbook for betting hockey. It’s not even close. They have all the bet types we play, including regulation time, team totals, and first periods. Check them out if you don’t already have an account.

Good luck on whatever you play tonight!

Wild Logo VS Pick Lightning Logo
Game: Wild @ Lightning Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Under 6.5 -110 (Pinnacle)

Reasons to bet Minnesota: The Wild is 7-0-3 in its last 10 overall and has allowed 2 regulation time goals or less in 7 of its last 8 games. Tampa has lost 5 of its last 9 true home games (excluding its home game in Sweden).

Reasons to bet Tampa: The Lightning is 5-1 in its last 6 home games versus Minnesota, allowing just 7 non-empty net goals during that span. The Wild was outshot 46-26 in Tuesday’s 4-2 win at Florida.

Other things to know:

  • Minnesota is 6-10-2 on the road
  • Minnesota is 3-0-2 in its last 5 road games
  • Tampa is 5-4-1 in true home games this year
  • Tampa has scored 3 goals or less in 9 of the last 10 meetings, excluding empty netters
  • Tampa has scored 3 goals or less in 7 of its last 9 games, excluding empty netters
  • The home team has won 9 of the last 10 meetings
  • The Under is 8-1-2 in the last 11 meetings in Tampa Bay

Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!

Blackhawks Logo VS Pick Bruins Logo
Game: Blackhawks @ Bruins Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Under 6 +102 (BetOnline)

Reasons to bet Chicago: The Blackhawks have won 8 of their last 11 games when playing on 2 days rest. Boston has scored just 9 goals in its last 4 games.

Reasons to bet Boston: The Bruins still remain unbeaten in regulation on home ice this year (12-0-4) and are 9-0-2 in their last 11 overall. Chicago’s lost 6 of its last 7 games, scoring just 12 goals during the skid.

Other things to know:

  • Chicago is 3-5-3 on the road
  • Chicago has been outscored 15-5 in its last 3 games
  • Boston has allowed 5 goals in its last 5 games and 2 regulation time goals or less in 9 of its last 10
  • Boston has allowed 2 regulation time goals or less in 12 of its 16 home games
  • Boston has scored a first-period goal in just 2 of its last 8 home games
  • The Under is 5-1 in Boston’s last 6 home games

Bet this game at BetOnline – 50% Free Play to $2,500!

Coyotes Logo VS Pick Flyers Logo
Game: Coyotes @ Flyers Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: First Period Under 1.5 -102 (Pinnacle)

Reasons to bet Arizona: The Coyotes are 9-3-3 on the road and have earned points in 6 of their last 7 games versus Philly (4-1-2). The Flyers have lost 18 of their last 24 home games against teams with winning road records.

Reasons to bet Philadelphia: The Flyers are 9-1-4 at home, holding opponents to 2 regulation time goals or less in 7 of their last 8 in Philadelphia. Arizona has not scored more than 3 regulation time goals in 19 straight games, excluding empty netters.

Other things to know:

  • Philadelphia has won 3 straight meetings
  • 4 of the last 6 meetings went to OT
  • Arizona is 3-1-1 in its last 5 games in Philadelphia
  • Philadelphia has scored 3+ goals in 8 of the last 9 meetings
  • Arizona has allowed 5 regulation time goals in its last 3 road games
  • Philadelphia is 6-0-1 in its last 7 games
  • Philadelphia has scored 5+ goals in each of its last 2 home games
  • Philadelphia has allowed 1 goal in each of its last 3 home games
  • The Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings

Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!

Golden Knights Logo VS Pick Islanders Logo
Game: Golden Knights @ Islanders Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Golden Knights +104 (Pinnacle)

Reasons to bet Vegas: The Golden Knights are enjoying their best stretch of the season, winning 4 straight and going 6-2-1 in their last 9. New York has dropped 4 of its last 6 games.

Reasons to bet New York: The Islanders are 11-2-1 at home. Vegas is playing its 3rd road game in 4 days, although the travel has been limited to the New York area (Rangers, Devils, Islanders.)

Other things to know:

  • New York is playing its 3rd game in 4 days and 4th in 6
  • Vegas has scored 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 road games after scoring 2 or less in 7 straight road games, excluding empty netters
  • Vegas is 8-6-1 on the road
  • Vegas has allowed 5 goals in its last 3 games
  • Vegas won both meetings last year
  • New York has scored 3 regulation time goals or less in 6 of its last 7 games and 7 of 9

Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!

Rangers Logo VS Pick Blue Jackets Logo
Game: Rangers @ Blue Jackets Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Rangers Team Total Under 2.5 +116 (Pinnacle)

Reasons to bet New York: The Rangers are 4-1-1 in their last 6 games and are playing on 2 days rest. Columbus has scored 2 goals in its last 2 games and 2 or less in 4 of its last 5.

Reasons to bet Columbus: The Blue Jackets have won 5 of 7 at home. The Rangers have 1 regulation time win in the last 9 meetings.

Other things to know:

  • Columbus has scored 4+ goals in 4 of the last 5 meetings
  • New York has scored 11 regulation time goals in its last 5 games, excluding empty netters
  • New York has lost 7 of its last 8 games when playing with 2 days rest
  • The Under is 13-6- in Columbus’ last 19 home games
  • The Under is 7-1 in New York’s last 8 games

Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!

Sabres Logo VS Pick Flames Logo
Game: Sabres @ Flames Lean
Time: 9:00PM ET
Lean: Sabres First Period +132 (Pinnacle)

Reasons to bet Buffalo: The Sabres are 3-1-2 in their last 6 games and are coming off a 7-1 rout of New Jersey. The Flames have not played since Saturday.

Reasons to bet Calgary: The Flames have lost only 3 times in regulation at home this year (7-3-2). Buffalo has scored 2 goals or less in 7 of its last 9 road games.

Other things to know:

  • Calgary beat Buffalo 3-2 in OT Nov. 27 in Buffalo
  • Buffalo is 2-0-1 in its last 3 trips to Calgary
  • Buffalo is playing its first game of a 3-game western road trip
  • 5 of the last 7 meetings went to OT
  • Buffalo is playing with 2 days rest
  • Buffalo has scored 5+ goals in 2 of its last 3 games
  • Calgary has scored 13 regulation time goals in its last 10 games, excluding empty netters
  • Calgary has allowed 2 goals or less in 4 of its last 5 home games
  • Calgary has lost 6 of its last 8 games when playing with 4+ days rest
  • The Under is 20-8 in Calgary’s games this season

Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!