There are hot and cold runs in all kinds of betting, but this is getting a bit ridiculous.
Our plays went 4-0 on Saturday, extending our short-term run to 16-4 in the last 20 plays and our year-to-date to 44-21 for +21.2 units.
Regression’s going to sink in at some point — it simply has to.
But it’s impossible to know when, so we’ll just keep playing our numbers and maintaining the same bankroll management with an eye on the big picture.
Hopefully, we can make this run last at least one more night, with two personal plays making our card as well as lots of opinions on tonight’s action.
As we mentioned today on Twitter, it’s a weird week in the NHL due to US Thanksgiving.
As a result, we’re posting today and will likely have posts on Wednesday, Friday and Saturday – instead of the usual Tuesday-Thursday-Saturday schedule.
Good luck on whatever you play!
Odds below are at the time we made the pick.
Reasons to bet Vancouver: The Canucks have won 7 of their last 11 road games, including a 2-1 shootout win in Washington on Saturday. Philadelphia has lost 5 of its last 6 games.
Reasons to bet Philadelphia: The Flyers have suffered just 1 regulation time loss in their first 11 home games (6-1-4). Vancouver has scored 1 regulation time goal in 3 of its last 4 road games.
Other things to know:
- Vancouver beat Philadelphia 3-2 in a shootout Oct. 12 in Vancouver
- Philadelphia has scored 4 goals in the last 3 meetings and 11 in the last 6, excluding empty netters
- Vancouver has 2 regulation time wins in its last 10 games
- Philadelphia has scored 2 regulation time goals or less in 7 of its last 9 games
- Philadelphia has scored 8 regulation time goals in its last 4 home games
- Philadelphia has allowed 9 regulation time goals in its last 5 home games
- The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings
Bet this game at 5Dimes – Reduced juice odds on sides and totals!
Reasons to bet San Jose: The Sharks have won 8 of their last 9 games. The Sharks are 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings and have won 10 of their last 12 trips to LA.
Reasons to bet Los Angeles: The Kings have won 5 of 6 at home. San Jose has scored just 7 goals in its last 4 games, excluding OT, and is 4-6-1 on the road.
Other things to know:
- San Jose has 2 regulation time wins in its last 7 games
- San Jose has allowed 3+ goals in 8 of its last 10 road games
- LA has outshot its last 2 opponents 75-44
- LA has allowed 3 goals or less in 10 straight games
- The Under is 10-1-6 in the last 17 meetings
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet Vegas: The Golden Knights have won 4 straight meetings with the Stars and are 3-0 all-time in Dallas.
Reasons to bet Dallas: The Stars have earned points in 11 straight games (10-0-1) and 14 of their last 15 (13-1-1). Vegas has struggled to generate offense on the road, potting just 14 regulation time markers in its last 8 games away from home (excluding empty netters).
Other things to know:
- Vegas has lost 7 of its last 9 games
- Vegas is 5-5-1 on the road
- Vegas has scored 3 goals in its last 2 games
- Dallas has allowed 1 goal or less in 4 of its last 5 home games and 6 of 9
- Dallas had scored 4+ goals in 4 straight games before Saturday’s 2-1 shootout win over Chicago
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet Buffalo: The Sabres have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 29 shots or less. Tampa could be without Stamkos.
Reasons to bet Tampa: The Lightning swept a 2-game series with the Sabres earlier this month in Sweden. Buffalo has lost 9 of its last 11 games overall and is playing for the second straight night.
Other things to know:
- Tampa has won 5 straight meetings
- Buffalo has lost 3 straight in Tampa
- Buffalo scored 4 non-empty net goals last night after scoring just 7 in its previous 4 games
- Buffalo has allowed a power play goal in 8 straight games (11 goals)
- Tampa has scored 12 power play goals in its last 7 games
- Tampa has scored 21 goals in its last 3 home games
- The Under is 6-1 in Buffalo’s last 7 games on 0 days rest
- Tampa has won 21 of the last 27 meetings
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet Minnesota: The Wild has won 4 straight meetings with the Rangers and 3 straight at New York. New York has allowed 4+ goals in 5 of its last 7 games and is playing its 3rd game in 4 days and 4th in 6.
Reasons to bet New York: The Rangers should be riding high after overcoming a 4-0 deficit to beat Montreal 6-5 in OT Saturday in Montreal. Minnesota is coming off a 5-4 OT loss in Boston in which the Wild blew a 2-goal lead with 2 minutes left.
Other things to know:
- Minnesota is 4-10-1 on the road
- Minnesota has scored 3+ regulation time goals in 9 of its last 10 games
- New York has scored 3+ regulation time goals in 7 of its last 9 games
- Minnesota is 3-0-2 in its last 5 games and 5-2-3 in its last 10
- Minnesota has scored 15 goals in its last 3 trips to New York
- New York has scored 6 goals in the last 4 meetings
- The Over is 6-3 in Minnesota’s last 9 road games
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet Ottawa: The Senators have quietly won 5 of their last 6 games and 7 of 9. Columbus has just 2 regulation time wins in its last 8 home games.
Reasons to bet Columbus: The Blue Jackets have won 3 straight at home. Ottawa is 4-7-1 on the road, where it’s scored 2 goals or less in 8 of those 12 games.
Other things to know:
- Columbus has won 4 straight meetings and 6 of the last 8
- Ottawa has lost 4 of its last 5 trips to Columbus
- Ottawa is playing with 2 days rest
- Ottawa has allowed 11 goals in 6 games since an 8-2 loss at Carolina Nov. 11
- Columbus is 4-2-1 in its last 7 overall
- Columbus has scored 5 goals in each of its last 2 home games
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet New York: The Islanders are 15-0-2 in their last 17 games and 6-1-1 on the road. Anaheim has lost 8 of its last 9 games overall and 5 straight at home.
Reasons to bet Anaheim: The Ducks tend to respond well after lopsided defeats, going 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games following a loss of 3+ goals. New York has 2 regulation time wins in its last 7 games.
Other things to know:
- Anaheim is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings
- New York has gone to OT in 4 straight games and 5 of its last 7
- Anaheim is 6-4-2 at home
- Anaheim has allowed 14 goals in its last 3 games, excluding empty netters
- Anaheim is playing its first home game following a 4-game eastern road trip
- The Over is 7-1 in Anaheim’s last 8 games
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet St. Louis: The Blues are 7-2-2 on the road. Nashville has lost 5 straight at home, getting outscored 23-12 during that span.
Reasons to bet Nashville: The Predators snapped a 6-game losing streak Saturday with a 4-2 win in St. Louis. The Blues have 1 regulation time win in their last 9 road games.
Other things to know:
- Nashville has won 10 of its last 11 home games against St. Louis
- St. Louis has lost 4 of its last 6 games
- The home team is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings
- St. Louis has scored 2 regulation time goals or less in 6 of its last 7 games, excluding empty netters
- Nashville has allowed 5+ goals in 3 of its last 5 home games
- The Under is 6-1 in St. Louis’ last 7 games
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!
Reasons to bet Calgary: The Flames have won 5 of the last 7 meetings and are 3-0-1 in their last 4 at Pittsburgh. The Penguins have 2 regulation time wins in their last 10.
Reasons to bet Pittsburgh: The Penguins continue to play suffocating defense at home, holding 9 of their last 10 opponents to 2 goals or less. Calgary has scored just 8 regulation time goals in its last 7 games and 6 regulation time markers in its last 5 on the road.
Other things to know:
- Calgary is 5-9-1 on the road
- Pittsburgh is 8-3-2 at home
- Calgary snapped a 6-game losing streak Saturday with a 3-2 shootout win at Philadelphia
- Calgary has 1 power play goal in its last 7 games
- Pittsburgh is 4-1-3 in its last 8 games
- The Under is 7-0 in Calgary’s last 7 games
Bet this game at Pinnacle – The best NHL odds online!