We’re getting back in action tonight for the first time since Wednesday, when we hit a +115 play on the Penguins to improve to 10-7 for +3.3 units in the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Once again, we’re looking for Pittsburgh to take care of business at home against Washington. Unlike last time, they’ll have Crosby in the lineup to try and do it, but those close-out games always seem the toughest to win.
If the Pens don’t finish off Washington tonight, at least there will be a Game 7 in that series, and how great will that be to watch? After not getting a Game 7 in the first round, we’re already guaranteed at least one as Edmonton and Anaheim will clash Wednesday for a trip to the Western Conference finals. New York will look to force a seventh game with a victory tomorrow night at home against Ottawa, so maybe we’ll get three winner-take-all affairs in Round 2.
Good luck tonight if you’re tailing along. If you disagree and like the Caps to extend the series, feel free to let us know why in the comments section below.
Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.
Pittsburgh looked like it may have had this series wrapped up when it took a 2-1 lead into the third period Saturday night in Washington. All the pressure was on the Capitals, and it was both impressive and surprising how Washington got off the mat with three third-period goals to win 4-2 and stave off elimination. It’s tempting to think that the Caps can ride that momentum into another victory tonight while the Penguins’ missed opportunity comes back to haunt them.
We’re not convinced. Pittsburgh had several great scoring chances in the third, a few before Backstrom tied the game and then a couple when the game was tied 2-2. If the Penguins scored on any of them, the series is probably already over. Washington’s last two goals came on broken plays that put Fleury out of position, so we don’t think they’ve suddenly cracked the Pittsburgh defence. The Caps went 0 for 3 on the power play last game and are now 1 for 17 with the man advantage in the series. And Crosby looked totally fine in his quick return to the lineup. These are all positives Pittsburgh can build on.
Pittsburgh is 35-6-5 at home this year, including playoffs. They’ve owned Washington for years. Getting the Penguins at this pick ’em price just seems like a great bargain. We’re playing the Penguins moneyline -110 (we got this line at 5Dimes, but it’s -110 to -115 at most books), with a very strong lean on the Under 5.5 (-110 at Bodog/Bovada).
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