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NHL Betting Tips For Tuesday, January 17

Jon and DerekIt was a nice 5-2 day for us overall yesterday with 2 of those winners coming at an underdog price. However, 1 of the 2 losses came on our Best Bet as the Kings lost 2-1 at home to the Lightning. (We didn’t expect LA to be without Kopitar, but Tampa was without Hedman as well so we can’t complain too much.)

What a tremendous game that was in Pittsburgh yesterday! We were happy to have been on the Capitals First Period Moneyline so we could just sit back and enjoy the back-and-forth scoring without stressing out about how it would affect our wager.

This month, and this season really, has been a textbook example of why we’re such big advocates of flat betting (using a similar unit size for all bets). Our Best Bets are the picks we like the most, but we’re just 25-24 on those for the season, compared to 233-184 on all our picks overall.

Part of that may be small sample size, part of that could be that we didn’t start including Team Totals and First Period lines in our Best Bets until recently (they’re 17-12 since the start of December), and part of that might be that we’re just picking the wrong games to feature. Regardless, it just reinforces the importance of risking a similar amount on every bet, rather than doubling or tripling up on the ones we like the most.

We make this point just in case any of you are only paying attention to our Best Bets and ignoring the rest.

Alright, on to tonight where there are 9 games on the NHL schedule. Below’s our favourite bet of the day (again, take it with a grain of salt), along with stats, trends and tips for the rest of tonight’s action.

Good luck!

Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.

Stars Logo VS Pick Rangers Logo
Game: Stars @ Rangers Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Stars Team Total Over 2.5 -104

Reasons to bet Dallas: The Stars have been scoring plenty of goals lately, potting 3+ in 5 of their last 7 games and 7 of 10. New York has allowed 4+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games and has lost 3 of its last 4 at home.

Reasons to bet New York: The Rangers have beaten Dallas in 5 of the last 7 meetings, including 2-0 Dec. 15 in Dallas. The Stars have lost 6 of their last 8 overall and 10 of 13 on the road.

Other things to know:

  • Dallas is 6-12-4 on the road
  • New York is 13-8-1 at home
  • The Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings
  • Dallas has allowed 12 power play goals in its last 8 games
  • Dallas has allowed 4+ goals in 5 of its last 7 games
  • New York has scored 4+ goals in 3 of its last 4 games and 7 of 9
  • Dallas has lost 14 of its last 17 when playing for the 3rd time in 4 days
  • The Over is 8-2 in New York’s last 10 games

Probable goalies: Niemi, Lundqvist

Hurricanes Logo VS Pick Blue Jackets Logo
Game: Hurricanes @ Blue Jackets Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Blue Jackets First Period Moneyline -135

Reasons to bet Carolina: The Hurricanes have scored 21 goals in their last 4 games, winning all of them. The Blue Jackets have lost 4 of 6 since their 16-game winning streak.

Reasons to bet Columbus: The Blue Jackets are 16-4-1 at home this season. Carolina’s 6-11-6 on the road, where the Hurricanes have scored 8 goals in their last 4 games.

Other things to know:

  • Carolina beat Columbus 5-3 Jan. 10 in Carolina
  • Carolina has won its last 5 visits to Columbus
  • Carolina is 6-11-6 on the road
  • Carolina has allowed 2+ goals in 10 straight games (3+ in 6 of 10)
  • Columbus has scored 3+ goals in 3 straight games and 4 of 5
  • Columbus has allowed 4+ goals in 4 of its last 6 games
  • The Under is 22-16 in Columbus’ games this year

Probable goalies: Ward, Bobrovsky

Sabres Logo VS Pick Leafs Logo
Game: Sabres @ Leafs Lean
Time: 7:30PM ET
Lean: Sabres Team Total Over 2.5 +117 (Leafs are red hot but overpriced)

Reasons to bet Buffalo: The Sabres are 4-2-1 in their last 7 games. Toronto is playing its first home game in 10 days, and has lost 6 of its last 8 games at home.

Reasons to bet Toronto: The Leafs are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games, scoring 4 goals or more in 7 of those 10 contests. Buffalo has lost 13 of its last 16 visits to Toronto and is playing its 4th game in 6 days.

Other things to know:

  • Toronto beat Buffalo 2-1 Nov. 3 in Buffalo
  • Buffalo has won 4 of the last 6 meetings
  • Buffalo is 7-9-6 on the road
  • Toronto is 10-7-2 at home
  • Buffalo has scored 3+ goals in 5 of its last 7 games
  • Buffalo has allowed 3+ goals in 4 of its last 6 games and 7 of 10
  • Toronto has allowed 2+ goals in 8 straight games
  • The Over is 5-1 in Toronto’s last 6 games
  • The Over is 7-3-3 in the last 13 meetings

Probable goalies: Lehner, Andersen

Devils Logo VS Pick Wild Logo
Game: Devils @ Wild Lean
Time: 8:00PM ET
Lean: Devils First Period Moneyline +166 (pure value play, also like Under 5 -118)

Reasons to bet New Jersey: The Devils are 2-0-1 on their current 4-game road trip and 4-2-2 in their last 8 games. Minnesota could let down here after facing the Blackhawks, Stars, Canadiens, Ducks, Kings, Sharks and Blue Jackets in their last 7 games.

Reasons to bet Minnesota: The Wild just continues to roll, improving to 17-1-1 in its last 19 games with a 3-2 win in Chicago on Sunday. New Jersey has scored 8 goals in its last 6 games.

Other things to know:

  • New Jersey beat Minnesota 2-1 in OT Oct. 22 in New Jersey
  • New Jersey is 8-12-6 on the road
  • Minnesota is 14-4 at home
  • New Jersey has won 5 of the last 6 meetings
  • New Jersey has allowed 2 regulation time goals or less in 6 of its last 8 games
  • The Under is 1-6-1 in New Jersey’s last 8 games
  • Minnesota has scored 3+ goals in 8 of its last 10 games
  • Minnesota has allowed 2 goals or less in 3 of its last 4 games

Probable goalies: Schneider (confirmed), Dubnyk (confirmed)

Panthers Logo VS Pick Flames Logo
Game: Panthers @ Flames Lean
Time: 9:00PM ET
Lean: Panthers First Period Moneyline +110

Reasons to bet Florida: The Panthers are heating up a bit, beating Columbus 4-3 Friday to improve to 5-3-2 in their last 10 games. Calgary has scored 5 goals in its last 4 games.

Reasons to bet Calgary: The Flames have held opponents to 2 goals or less in 7 of their last 8 games. Florida has lost 18 of its last 24 games when coming off a victory in its previous outing.

Other things to know:

  • Florida is 9-8-5 on the road
  • Calgary is 12-11 at home
  • Florida has scored 2+ goals in 4 straight games
  • Florida has gone Over in its last 2 games after going Under in 8 straight
  • Calgary has lost 2 straight, 3 of 4 and 4 of 6

Probable goalies: Luongo, Johnson

Blackhawks Logo VS Pick Avalanche Logo
Game: Blackhawks @ Avalanche Lean
Time: 9:00PM ET
Lean: Under 5.5 -143

Reasons to bet Chicago: The Blackhawks routinely beat up on losing teams, winning 39 of their last 54 games against opponents who are under .500. Colorado has lost 21 of its last 26 home games dating back to last season.

Reasons to bet Colorado: The Avalanche beat Chicago 2-1 in OT Dec. 23 in Chicago. The Blackhawks have lost 2 straight and are only 10-9-1 on the road this year.

Other things to know:

  • Chicago beat Colorado 4-0 Nov. 3 in Colorado
  • Chicago has scored 2 goals in its last 2 games
  • Colorado has scored 2 goals or less in 7 straight games and 9 of 10
  • Colorado has allowed 3+ goals in 7 of 8 games
  • The road team has won 8 of the last 11 meetings

Probable goalies: Crawford, Varlamov (confirmed)

Predators Logo VS Pick Canucks Logo
Game: Predators @ Canucks Lean
Time: 10:00PM ET
Lean: Under 5 +112 (hard to imagine both teams scoring 3 goals here)

Reasons to bet Nashville: The Predators have won 3 straight games, allowing just 4 goals in those victories. Vancouver’s lost 4 straight, although the last 3 came in OT or a shootout.

Reasons to bet Vancouver: The Canucks are 15-6-3 at home this season. Nashville has scored 2 goals or less in 7 of its last 10 games.

Other things to know:

  • Nashville beat Vancouver 2-1 in OT Jan. 10 in Nashville
  • Nashville is 8-11-2 on the road
  • Nashville has allowed 2 goals or less in 7 of its last 8 games
  • Vancouver is 6-1-3 in its last 10 games
  • Vancouver has allowed 8 regulation time goals in its last 6 home games

Probable goalies: Rinne, Miller

Lightning Logo VS Pick Ducks Logo
Game: Lightning @ Ducks Lean
Time: 10:00PM ET
Lean: Under 5 +123 (possibly our favourite bet if we knew for sure that Bishop was playing)

Reasons to bet Tampa: The Lightning opened a 6-game road trip yesterday with a 2-1 win in Los Angeles and has now allowed 6 goals in its last 3 games. Anaheim has scored 2 regulation time goals or less in 5 straight home games.

Reasons to bet Anaheim: The Ducks are 7-1-2 in their last 10 games and 14-5-3 at home this year. Tampa’s been held to 2 goals or less in 5 of its last 7 games.

Other things to know:

  • Tampa is 9-12-2 on the road
  • Anaheim has allowed 6 regulation time goals in its last 7 games
  • Anaheim has scored 2 regulation time goals or less in 5 of its last 7 games
  • The Under is 8-1-3 in Anaheim’s last 12 games
  • Both teams are playing their 4th game in 6 days

Probable goalies: Bishop, Gibson

 

Good luck!

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