A few hours after we pat ourselves on the back for a strong first month of posting picks and leans on all games (102-75 for +19.7 units) and we pull a reverse sweep last night, going 0-4 on our betting tips for the evening.
It was a weird night as the Senators scored 5 goals but couldn’t even earn a single point (or a regulation time cover); the Bruins and Panthers combined to score 7 goals in a game that was 1-1 with 4 minutes remaining in the second period; and the Capitals break their 3-game losing streak but need overtime to do it, the first time they’ve won at home in OT all year.
Unfortunately, tough days like that are part of the deal. Just gotta shake yourself off and not let it affect your picks the next day.
Here’s our thoughts on tonight’s 9 game schedule in the NHL, beginning with 2 Best Bets and then leans and analysis of the other 7 contests.
Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.
It was pretty difficult to think of reasons to back Florida in this game. They’re closing out a 6-game road trip by playing their second game in as many nights. Not many things have gone right on this trip for the Panthers, including the firing of their head coach and injuries to Jonathan Marchessault and Keith Yandle. They’ve also scored just 9 goals in regulation time over their last 7 games, although they’ve somehow managed to get into overtime in 4 of those contests.
Philadelphia is going in the other direction. They’re finally getting some solid netminding from Steve Mason (.945 save percentage in his last 4 games) and that’s helped them win 5 straight games, including victories over the Blackhawks and Predators in their last two outings. The offence continues to click, producing 3+ goals in 5 straight games.
The Panthers’ ability to get into OT lately is enough to keep us away from taking the Flyers to win in regulation time, so we’ll lay the -1 puck line here to give ourselves a push if Philly wins in OT.
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If you follow us on Twitter, you’ve probably seen us point out how poor the Devils have been defensively. They’ve given up 3 goals or more in 9 straight games, a staggering trend considering how this franchise is practically synonymous with defensive hockey.
The Devils have managed to go 2-1-3 in their last 6 games, however, because they’ve been scoring plenty of goals themselves. New Jersey has scored 3 goals or more in 5 of its last 6 outings.
Vancouver’s also thrown caution to the wind a bit of late, scoring 3+ goals in 7 of its last 10 games and allowing 2 goals or more in 9 of its last 10. The Canucks should bring energy to this game, starting a 5-game road trip and having gone 7-4-1 in their last 12 contests. We like the chances of both teams to contribute at least a couple of goals to the scoring tonight.
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Reasons to bet Edmonton: The Oilers are 8-4-2 on the road and have averaged 3.21 goals per game playing away from home. Buffalo is playing its second game in as many nights, 3rd in 4 nights and 4th in 6.
Reasons to bet Buffalo: The Sabres are 4-2-2 in their last 8 games. Buffalo beat the Oilers 6-2 Oct. 16 in Edmonton. The Oilers have been held to 2 goals or less in regulation 5 times in their last 6 games.
Other things to know:
- Buffalo is 4-5-3 at home
- The Under is 15-7 in Buffalo’s games this year
- Edmonton is 2-0-1 in its last 3 games
- Edmonton has allowed 19 regulation time goals in its last 9 games
- Buffalo has allowed 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games
- Buffalo is averaging 1.58 goals for at home
- The Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings in Buffalo
- The Over is 5-1-1 in Edmonton’s last 7 road games
- Edmonton has won 4 of the last 5 meetings
- Jack Eichel is expected to play for Buffalo despite suffering an ankle injury last night in Washington
Probable goalies: Talbot (confirmed), Nilsson (confirmed)
Reasons to bet NY Rangers: The Rangers have scored 10 goals in their last 3 games and are 7-4 on the road this season. The Islanders have 7 wins in 15 home games (7-4-4).
Reasons to bet NY Islanders: The Islanders are 3-0-1 in their last 4 games, including victories over the Penguins and Capitals. The Rangers have not won consecutive games in more than 3 weeks.
Other things to know:
- The Rangers beat the Islanders 5-3 Oct. 13 at Madison Square Garden
- The Rangers have allowed 2 goals or more in 10 straight games
- The Rangers have held opponents to 2 goals or less in 4 of 5 and 6 of 8
- The Islanders have gone to OT in 5 of their last 10 games
- The Islanders have allowed 7 regulation time goals in their last 4 games
- The Islanders have scored 3+ goals in 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5
- The Over is 15-9 in the Rangers’ games this year
- The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings at the Islanders
- The road team has won 13 of the last 18 meetings
Probable goalies: Lundqvist, Halak (confirmed)
Reasons to bet Detroit: The Red Wings are 4-1-2 in their last 7 games and coming off a 4-3 OT win over the Islanders Sunday. Winnipeg had been held under 30 shots on goal in 8 straight games before registering 32 Sunday in a 2-1 win in Chicago.
Reasons to bet Winnipeg: The Jets have won 4 of 5 and are 5-1 in their last 6 home games. Detroit has allowed 12 goals in its last 3 road games.
Other things to know:
- Winnipeg beat Detroit 5-3 Nov. 4 in Detroit
- Detroit is 6-5-1 on the road
- Winnipeg is 8-5 at home
- Detroit has scored 3+ goals in regulation 3 times in its last 4 and 4 times in its last 6
- Winnipeg has scored 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games
- The Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Winnipeg
- The Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings
- Scheifele is questionable for Winnipeg
Probable goalies: Mrazek, Hellebuyck (confirmed)
Reasons to bet Montreal: The Canadiens likely regained some confidence with a 5-4 shootout win Sunday in Los Angeles. St. Louis has allowed 3+ goals in 5 straight games.
Reasons to bet St. Louis: The Blues are 11-1-3 at home and 7-1-1 in their last 9 games overall. Montreal is just 5-5-1 on the road and playing the final game of a 5-game road trip.
Other things to know:
- Montreal has scored 9 regulation time goals in its last 5 games
- Montreal has allowed 15 regulation time goals in its last 7 games
- St. Louis has scored 3+ goals in 9 of its last 10 games
- St. Louis is playing the final game of a 5-game homestand (3-0-1 so far)
- The Over is 5-0-1 in St. Louis’ last 6 games
- Galchenyuk is out for Montreal
Probable goalies: Montoya (confirmed), Allen (confirmed)
Reasons to bet Colorado: The road might be the best place for the Avalanche, which is coming off an 0-5 homestand. In their last 2 road games, the Avs beat Columbus and Minnesota. Nashville has lost 2 straight at home.
Reasons to bet Nashville: The Predators are 8-2-2 at home and have already defeated the Avalanche twice this season, outscoring Colorado 10-4 in a pair of games last month in Denver. Colorado has allowed 3+ goals in 5 straight games.
Other things to know:
- Colorado is 5-5 on the road
- Colorado has scored 12 regulation time goals in its last 6 games
- Nashville has scored 4+ goals in 4 of its last 7 games and 3+ in 5 of its last 7
- Nashville has scored 3+ goals in each of its last 6 games against Colorado
- The Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings
- The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Nashville
Probable goalies: Varlamov (confirmed), Rinne
Reasons to bet Calgary: The Flames have outscored their opponents 14-5 in their last 3 games, winning all 3 of them. Dallas just limped home from a 1-2-1 road trip and has scored 2 goals or less in 6 of its last 8 games.
Reasons to bet Dallas: The Stars played their best defensive game of the season in their last outing, blanking the Avalanche 3-0 Saturday in Denver. Dallas beat the Flames 4-2 Nov. 10 in Calgary.
Other things to know:
- Calgary is 7-6-2 on the road
- Dallas is 6-3-2 at home
- Calgary has scored 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games
- Dallas has allowed 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 and 6 of its last 8
- The Under is 7-2-1 in Calgary’s last 10 road games
- The Over is 14-4-3 in the last 21 meetings
Probable goalies: Johnson (confirmed), Lehtonen (confirmed)
Reasons to bet Arizona: The Coyotes are 3-3-4 in their last 10 games. Chicago has managed 1 goal in regulation 6 times in its last 8 games and is without Jonathan Toews and Corey Crawford.
Reasons to bet Chicago: The Blackhawks are 10-2-2 at home while the Coyotes are 3-7-3 on the road. Arizona has allowed 40+ shots in 5 of its last 9 outings and is 8-20 in its last 28 games on 0 days rest.
Other things to know:
- Arizona has lost 4 straight games, getting outscored 13-7 in those games
- Arizona has allowed 11 goals in its last 3 games
- Chicago has scored 2 goals in its last 2 games
- The Under is 13-8 in Arizona’s games this year
- The Under is 13-8 in Chicago’s games this year
- The Under is 8-1-3 in Arizona’s last 12 games
- The Under is 12-4-5 in Chicago’s last 21 games
- The Under is 20-8-2 in the last 30 meetings in Chicago
Probable goalies: Smith (confirmed), Darling (confirmed)
Good luck!
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