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NHL Betting Tips For Saturday, November 26

Jon and Derek

We dropped our Best Bet yesterday on the Canucks/Stars Over 5.5 and finished the day with a 5-5 split overall.

It’s been a really good month overall (all picks/leans combined are 80-58 for +15.9 units), even though our Best Bets are just 7-14 in November. We’ve said it before: It shows the value of flat betting (betting similar amounts on every wager you make), rather than going big on the bets you like the most and betting the other ones smaller.

We still expect that Best Bets (the bets we like the most on a given day) will perform better than the rest of our picks/leans throughout a long season, but anything’s possible in a short-term sample. Hopefully we can get our stronger picks back on track.

We’ve got a lot of new followers over the past month, so if anyone’s curious about why we call the other picks “leans”, it’s because we’re putting out an opinion on every game on the board. We definitely don’t recommend you bet every lean we put out – just find a few you agree with and go with them if you’d like. We just wanted to bring more value to the table daily than simply putting out 2-3 picks with writeups, and the feedback we’ve gotten since posting leans on every game suggests that people are enjoying the new format.

Alright, 9 games in the NHL tonight… here’s our thoughts on the Saturday board.

Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.

Capitals Logo VS Pick Leafs Logo
Game: Capitals @ Leafs Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: First Period Over 1.5 +100

Reasons to bet Washington: Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 and are 5-2-1-1 on the road this season. Toronto has lost 3 straight and blew a 3-0 lead to lose Wednesday in New Jersey.

Reasons to bet Toronto: Leafs are 7-3 at home and have scored 6 goals in a home game 4 times this month. Washington is playing its 3rd game in 4 days.

Other things to know:

  • Washington has won its last 5 games against Toronto
  • Washington has allowed 9 regulation time goals in its last 6 games
  • Washington has scored first in 17 of its 20 games
  • Toronto has scored 6 goals in its last 3 games
  • The home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings

Probable goalies: Holtby (confirmed), Andersen

Hurricanes Logo VS Pick Senators Logo
Game: Hurricanes @ Senators Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Under 5 +107

Reasons to bet Carolina: The Hurricanes’ 5-game winning streak was snapped Thursday in Montreal but Carolina still played well, outshooting the Canadiens 32-22.

Reasons to bet Ottawa: The Senators have rediscovered their offence, scoring 7 goals in their last 2 games after managing just 10 regulation time goals in their previous 8.

Other things to know:

  • Ottawa beat Carolina 2-1 in OT November 1 in Ottawa
  • Ottawa is 7-4-1 at home
  • Carolina is 3-4-3-1 on the road
  • Carolina has allowed 7 goals in its last 6 games
  • Carolina has scored 2 goals or less in 6 of its last 9 games
  • Ottawa has allowed 13 goals in its last 4 games
  • The home team is 24-7 in the last 31 meetings
  • The Under is 12-3-1 in Ottawa’s last 16 games
  • The Under is 7-1-1 in Ottawa’s last 9 home games

Probable goalies: Ward, Anderson (confirmed)

Canadiens Logo VS Pick Red Wings Logo
Game: Canadiens @ Red Wings Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Canadiens Team Total Over 2.5 -135

Reasons to bet Montreal: Canadiens have won 9 of their last 11 versus Detroit, including a 5-0 romp Nov. 12 in Montreal. Red Wings are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.

Reasons to bet Detroit: Red Wings have won 2 straight overtime games after losing 4 in a row. Detroit has scored 6 goals in its last 2 games after managing just 5 in the previous 4.

Other things to know:

  • Detroit is 2-11 in its last 13 games on 0 days rest
  • Montreal is 3-3-0-1 on the road
  • Montreal has lost 4 of its last 6
  • Montreal has allowed 18 regulation time goals in its last 9
  • Detroit has allowed 18 goals in its last 6
  • The home team has won the last 6 meetings

Probable goalies: Price (confirmed), Mrazek

Devils Logo VS Pick Penguins Logo
Game: Devils @ Penguins Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Over 5 -118 (wanted to bet Penguins TT or in regulation, but price is too high)

Reasons to bet New Jersey: Devils have earned points in 8 of their last 11 games. Pittsburgh has allowed 5+ goals in 3 of its last 6 games.

Reasons to bet Pittsburgh: Penguins were whipped 6-2 yesterday in Minnesota. The Penguins are 7-2-1 at home, while New Jersey is 3-6-2 on the road.

Other things to know:

  • New Jersey has allowed 20 goals in its last 5 games (3+ in all 5 games)
  • New Jersey has scored 9 goals in its last 2 games
  • Pittsburgh has lost 3 of its last 4 and 4 of its last 6
  • The Over is 11-6 in Pittsburgh’s games this season
  • Both teams are playing their 4th game in 6 days
  • The home team is 22-6 in the last 28 meetings

Probable goalies: Kinkaid (confirmed), Murray

Wild Logo VS Pick Blues Logo
Game: Wild @ Blues Lean
Time: 8:00PM ET
Lean: Blues Team Total Over 2.5 -113

Reasons to bet Minnesota: Wild has won 2 straight and outscored opponents 9-3 in those games. Minnesota has allowed 10 regulation time goals in its last 7 games.

Reasons to bet St. Louis: The Blues are 8-1-1 at home this year, including a 3-2 win over Minnesota Oct. 13. The Wild is playing for the second straight day and 4th time in 6 days, while St. Louis hasn’t played since Wednesday.

Other things to know:

  • St. Louis has scored 3+ goals in 6 straight games
  • Minnesota scored 9 goals in its past 2 games after scoring 8 regulation time goals in its previous 6 games
  • Minnesota is 4-10 in its last 14 games in St. Louis
  • The Under is 12-3-2 in Minnesota’s last 17 games
  • The Under is 8-2-6 in St. Louis’ last 16 games at home

Probable goalies: Kuemper, Allen (confirmed)

Canucks Logo VS Pick Avalanche Logo
Game: Canucks @ Avalanche Lean
Time: 10:00PM ET
Lean: Avalanche -0.5 (regulation time) +103

Reasons to bet Vancouver: The Canucks are 22-8 in their last 30 games against the Avalanche, including 10 of 14 in Colorado. The Avalanche is still without Gabriel Landeskog and will also be without Semyon Varlamov.

Reasons to bet Colorado: The Avalanche has been off since a 6-3 loss at home to the Oilers Wednesday and Vancouver is playing its 3rd road game in 4 nights, and in the high altitude of Denver.

Other things to know:

  • Vancouver is 2-7-0-1 on the road
  • Colorado is 4-5 at home
  • Vancouver has allowed 3 goals in its last 2 games and 8 regulation time goals in its last 4
  • Vancouver has earned points in 4 of its last 6 games
  • Colorado has scored 3+ goals in 3 straight games and 4 of 5
  • Colorado has allowed 13 goals in its last 4 games

Probable goalies: Markstrom, Pickard (confirmed)

Blackhawks Logo VS Pick Kings Logo
Game: Blackhawks @ Kings Lean
Time: 10:30PM ET
Lean: Over 5 -110

Reasons to bet Chicago: The Blackhawks gutted out a 3-2 win in Anaheim yesterday without Jonathan Toews and are now 11-4 in their last 15 games.

Reasons to bet Los Angeles: The Kings have won 5 straight at home and are 8-2 at home on the year. Los Angeles has won 4 consecutive games. Chicago is playing the last game of a 7-game road trip.

Other things to know:

  • Chicago has scored 4 goals in its last 3 games
  • Chicago has allowed 2+ goals in 8 straight games
  • Los Angeles has scored 3+ goals in 4 straight games
  • Los Angeles has allowed 2+ goals in 8 straight games
  • The Over is 8-1-4 in the last 13 meetings

Probable goalies: Darling, Budaj

Ducks Logo VS Pick Sharks Logo
Game: Ducks @ Sharks Lean
Time: 10:30PM ET
Lean: Ducks +0.5 (regulation time) -103

Reasons to bet Anaheim: Ducks should be a desperate team, having lost 3 straight games.

Reasons to bet San Jose: The Sharks have won 3 straight on their current homestand, outscoring opponents 9-3, and are 7-2 at home this year. Anaheim has lost 9 of its last 10 trips to San Jose.

Other things to know:

  • Both teams played yesterday afternoon
  • There has been exactly 5 goals scored in each of Anaheim’s last 6 games
  • Anaheim is 3-4-3 on the road
  • Anaheim has allowed 13 regulation time goals in its last 5 games
  • The Under is 15-2 in San Jose’s games this year
  • The Under is 38-18-6 in the last 62 meetings

Probable goalies: Gibson, Jones

 

Good luck!

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