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NHL Betting Tips For Friday, December 16

Jon and DerekAnother great night yesterday, hitting our Best Bet, going 5-2 on leans and also cashing our live bet on the Ducks/Bruins 2nd Period Over 1.5.

There will inevitably be both hot runs and cold runs throughout a long season, so we’ve got to enjoy this week for what it’s been: 22-7 on all picks and leans (including 4-0 on live bets), with a few plus money winners and only 3 picks at -130 odds or higher.

We don’t just say that to pat ourselves on the back (self promotion is actually something we’re not really that comfortable with). We want to stress that winning at that clip is not sustainable over a long time and we’re probably due for some regression soon.

Please, please, please make sure that if you’re tailing any of our picks or leans, don’t get carried away and bet over your head. Poor money management is probably the biggest reason sports bettors lose money.

Stick to a bankroll strategy (in case you’re interested, we wrote an article that reviews 5 popular NHL betting systems) and remain disciplined at all times.

Alright, sermon over. 7 games tonight in the NHL. Below is our favourite bet of the day, followed by stats, trends and leans for the other 6 games on the board.

Good luck!

Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.

Islanders Logo VS Pick Sabres Logo
Game: Islanders @ Sabres Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Islanders Team Total Over 2.5 +108

Reasons to bet New York: The Islanders have won 7 of their last 10 trips to Buffalo. The Sabres have just 6 wins in 15 home games this year (6-6-3).

Reasons to bet Buffalo: The Sabres are 4-2-1 in their last 7 at home. New York is 2-7-1 on the road, has lost 3 straight and is playing for the second straight night.

Other things to know:

  • The Under is 15-9 in Buffalo’s games this year
  • New York has allowed 15 goals in its last 3 games
  • New York has allowed 3+ goals in 4 of its last 6 games
  • New York has scored 3+ goals in 6 of its last 8 games
  • New York has allowed 6 PP goals in its last 3 games
  • Buffalo has scored 10 PP goals in its last 10 games
  • Buffalo has allowed 3+ goals in 4 straight and 7 of 8
  • Buffalo has scored 3+ goals in 4 of its last 7
  • The Over is 5-1 in New York’s last 6 games
  • The Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Buffalo

Probable goalies: Berube (confirmed), Lehner (confirmed)

Kings Logo VS Pick Penguins Logo
Game: Kings @ Penguins Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Kings Team Total +2.5 +110

Reasons to bet Los Angeles: The Kings have held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 20 shots or less. LA’s won 3 of its last 4 on the road. Pittsburgh has allowed 3+ goals in 7 of its last 10 games.

Reasons to bet Pittsburgh: The Penguins are 13-2-1 at home, have won 7 straight games and scored 4 or more goals in each of those victories. LA has allowed 3+ goals in 5 of its last 7 games and is 5-8-1 on the road overall.

Other things to know:

  • LA beat Pittsburgh 3-2 in OT Nov. 3 in LA
  • The Over is 12-0 in Pittsburgh’s last 12 games
  • The Over is 20-6 in Pittsburgh’s games this year
  • LA has scored 3+ goals in 3 straight games and 5 of 6
  • LA has allowed 1 goal in 2 of its last 3 games
  • LA is 12-5 in its last 17 games on 0 days rest
  • The Under is 5-0-1 in LA’s last 6 games when playing its 3rd game in 4 days

Probable goalies: Budaj, Muray

Capitals Logo VS Pick Hurricanes Logo
Game: Capitals @ Hurricanes Lean
Time: 7:30PM ET
Lean: Over 5 -111 

Reasons to bet Washington: The Capitals have won 5 straight games, scoring 3 or more goals in each of those victories. Carolina has allowed 16 regulation time goals in its last 4 games.

Reasons to bet Carolina: The Hurricanes have won 7 straight games at home, where they are averaging 3 goals per game for the season. Washington’s 7-3-3 on the road.

Other things to know:

  • Carolina beat Washington 5-1 Nov. 12 in Carolina (Carolina outshot Washington 38-21)
  • Washington has allowed 10 goals in its last 6 games
  • Washington’s power play is 7 for 21 in its last 6 games
  • Carolina has scored 3+ goals in 4 straight games (19 goals in those games)
  • The home team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings

Probable goalies: Grubauer (confirmed), Ward (confirmed)

Panthers Logo VS Pick Avalanche Logo
Game: Panthers @ Avalanche Lean
Time: 9:00PM ET
Lean: Avalanche Team Total Over 2.5 -118

Reasons to bet Florida: The Panthers have earned points in 6 of their last 9 games, suffering 4 OT or shootout losses in that span. Colorado has lost 6 in a row at home, where it is 4-9-1 on the season.

Reasons to bet Colorado: A huge edge the Avalanche has in this game is that Florida is playing for the second straight night and 3rd time in 4 days, and has to do it at high altitude. But the Avs have failed to take advantage of this opportunity several times this year already.

Other things to know:

  • Florida beat Colorado 5-2 Oct. 22 in Florida (Florida outshot Colorado 38-28)
  • Florida is 5-8-5 on the road
  • Florida has allowed 3+ goals against in 5 of its last 6 games
  • Florida has scored 2 goals or less in 7 of its last 10 games
  • The Over is 5-0-1 in Florida’s last 6
  • Florida has lost 6 of its last 7 and 8 of 10
  • Colorado has scored 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games
  • Colorado has allowed 3+ goals in 8 of its last 10 games
  • The Over is 4-1 in Colorado’s last 5 games

Probable goalies: Luongo, Pickard (confirmed)

Blue Jackets Logo VS Pick Flames Logo
Game: Blue Jackets @ Flames Lean
Time: 9:00PM ET
Lean: Blue Jackets First Period Moneyline -111

Reasons to bet Columbus: The Blue Jackets continue to roll, winning 7 straight games and going 8-0-1 in their last 9. Calgary has lost its last 6 home games against Columbus.

Reasons to bet Calgary: The Flames had won 6 in a row themselves before falling 6-3 Wednesday to a motivated Tampa Bay team. Calgary beat the Blue Jackets 2-0 Nov. 23 in Columbus.

Other things to know:

  • Columbus is 8-2-3 on the road
  • The Under is 16-8 in Columbus’ games this year
  • Columbus has scored 3+ goals in 7 straight games
  • Columbus has allowed 11 regulation time goals in its last 8 games
  • Calgary has scored 3+ goals in 5 of its last 7 games
  • Calgary has allowed 2 goals or less in 6 of its last 8 games
  • The road team has won 7 of the last 8 meetings
  • The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

Probable goalies: Bobrovsky, Johnson

Lightning Logo VS Pick Canucks Logo
Game: Lightning @ Canucks Lean
Time: 10:00PM ET
Lean: Lightning Team Total Over 2.5 -127

Reasons to bet Tampa: The Lightning may have regained some confidence after a 6-3 win Wednesday in Calgary that snapped the Flames’ 6-game winning streak. Vancouver is playing its first game back home after a 1-4 eastern road trip.

Reasons to bet Vancouver: The Canucks routed Tampa 5-1 Dec. 8 in Tampa. Tampa has allowed 17 goals in its last 4 games on the road.

Other things to know:

  • Vancouver is 8-5-1 at home
  • Tampa has scored 9 goals in its last 2 games after scoring 9 in its previous 6
  • Tampa has allowed 12 goals in its last 3 games
  • Tampa has allowed 3+ goals in 7 of its last 9 games
  • Vancouver has scored 13 goals in its last 4 games
  • Vancouver has scored 2 regulation time goals or less 5 times in its last 7 and 7 of 10
  • Vancouver has allowed 15 goals in its last 3 games
  • Vancouver has allowed 3+ goals in 6 of its last 8 games

Probable goalies: Bishop, Miller

 

Good luck!

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