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NHL Betting Tips For Thursday, December 6

Jon and DerekThere’s 11 games in the National Hockey League tonight, and 8 of them have an Over/Under of 6 or higher.

It’s hard to believe that just a couple of years ago, we were consistently seeing totals set at 5 or 5.5. It’s awesome to see the goal-scoring up across the league (well, other than the LA Kings and, lately, the Boston Bruins), and no lead really does seem safe anymore. In this week alone, the Capitals squandered a 4-goal advantage in a 6-5 loss to visiting Anaheim, and the Flames overcame an early 4-1 deficit to rout the Blue Jackets 9-6 in Columbus.

For all of the upside to more exciting offensive hockey, however, it’s making it harder to find value in Team Total Overs – especially Over 3.5. We used to almost always see those at plus money, but now the big favourites are starting to have juice attached to their Team Total Overs.

On the bright side, even laying a little juice on a Team Total Over 3.5 is still a cheap way to back a heavy favourite that you expect to put a few pucks in the net. That’s exactly what we’re doing with the Leafs and Golden Knights tonight, two teams that we absolutely love to do some damage offensively against visiting opponents with struggling goaltenders. (We don’t recommend parlays too often, but a Toronto/Vegas moneyline parlay tonight at -120 odds might be worth considering.)

We’re on three other games tonight as well. You can check them out below, along with breakdowns of all the other games on the board. Good luck on whatever you play and we’ll be back again Saturday to dissect the 10-game card.

Odds below are at the time we made the pick. Be sure to check out our live odds page for updated odds on today’s games.

Avalanche Logo VS Pick Panthers Logo
Game: Avalanche @ Panthers Lean
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: First Period Under 1.5 +112

Reasons to bet Colorado: The Avalanche is 10-5-2 on the road this season. Florida has just 1 regulation time win in its last 8 games.

Reasons to bet Florida: The Panthers have scored 22 goals in their last 6 games, collecting points in all but 1 of them (3-1-2). Florida seems to elevate its game when hosting teams with winning road records, winning 9 of its last 11 in that situation.

Other things to know:

  • Colorado has won the last 2 meetings and 3 of its last 5 visits to Florida
  • Colorado has 1 regulation time loss in its last 12 games
  • Colorado allowed 6 goals Tuesday in Pittsburgh after allowing 10 in its previous 6 games combined
  • Florida is playing its 7th straight home game
  • Florida is 6-4-3 at home
  • The Under is 8-3-1 in Colorado’s last 12 games following a loss by 3+ goals
  • The Under is 16-5-5 in Florida’s last 26 games against teams with winning records

Probable goalies: Grubauer (confirmed), Luongo (confirmed)

Islanders Logo VS Pick Penguins Logo
Game: Islanders @ Penguins
Time: 7:00PM ET
Lean: Pass

Reasons to bet New York: The Islanders have already beaten the Penguins twice this season and are 2-0-2 in their last 4 in Pittsburgh. The Penguins have lost 12 of 17.

Reasons to bet Pittsburgh: The Penguins blitzed Colorado 6-3 Tuesday, the 6th time in 9 games they’ve scored 4 goals or more. New York has scored just 6 goals in its last 4 games.

Other things to know:

  • New York beat Pittsburgh 3-2 in a shootout Nov. 1 in New York and 6-3 Oct. 30 in Pittsburgh
  • New York has won 3 straight meetings and 5 of the last 8
  • New York is 6-6-1 on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 6-6-2 at home
  • Pittsburgh has scored 21 goals in its last 5 home games
  • Pittsburgh has allowed 3+ goals in 4 straight games and 7 of 10
  • The Under is 5-0 in New York’s last 5 games

Probable goalies: Greiss, DeSmith (confirmed)

Canadiens Logo VS Pick Senators Logo
Game: Canadiens @ Senators
Time: 7:30PM ET
Lean: Pass

Reasons to bet Montreal: The Canadiens have won 7 of the last 9 meetings, including a 5-2 win over the Senators Tuesday in Montreal. Ottawa has allowed 4+ goals in 6 of 9.

Reasons to bet Ottawa: The Senators are 9-4-2 at home. Montreal is playing its 4th game in 6 days.

Other things to know:

  • Ottawa beat Montreal 4-3 in OT Oct. 20 in Ottawa
  • Montreal is 5-4-3 on the road
  • Ottawa has scored 3 regulation time goals or less in 8 of the last 9 meetings
  • The home team has won 7 of the last 8 meetings
  • Montreal has outshot its last 4 opponents by a margin of 172-103
  • The Over is 7-1-2 in Ottawa’s last 10 games following a loss by 3+ goals
  • The Over is 6-1 in Montreal’s last 7 games when playing its 4th game in 6 days
  • The Over is 18-7-2 in Ottawa’s last 27 home games
  • The Over is 20-6 in Ottawa’s games this year

Probable goalies: Price (confirmed), Anderson (confirmed)

Capitals Logo VS Pick Coyotes Logo
Game: Capitals @ Coyotes Lean
Time: 9:00PM ET
Lean: Coyotes Moneyline +107

Reasons to bet Washington: The Capitals have scored 3+ goals in 9 straight games (8 in regulation). Arizona has lost 4 of its last 5 at home.

Reasons to bet Arizona: The Coyotes have won 4 straight games, allowing just 2 goals in their last 3. Arizona is 7-0-1 in its last 8 home games versus the Capitals.

Other things to know:

  • Arizona beat Washington 4-1 Nov. 11 in Washington (Washington outshot Arizona 39-22)
  • Washington is 7-5-1 on the road
  • Washington has allowed 11 goals in its last 2 games after allowing 10 in its previous 5
  • Washington has allowed 3+ goals in 4 of its last 5 games
  • The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings
  • The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings

Probable goalies: Holtby, Hill (confirmed)

Predators Logo VS Pick Canucks Logo
Game: Predators @ Canucks Lean
Time: 10:00PM ET
Lean: Under 5.5 -108

Reasons to bet Nashville: The Predators are 8-3-1 on the road this year. Vancouver has lost 12 of its last 13 games.

Reasons to bet Vancouver: The Canucks consistently play Nashville tough, collecting points in 6 of the last 8 meetings (3-2-3). Nashville has scored 2 goals or less in 4 of its last 6 games.

Other things to know:

  • Vancouver is 5-7-1 at home
  • Nashville has won 5 of the last 7 meetings
  • Vancouver has scored 7 goals in its last 4 games
  • Vancouver has allowed 3 goals or less in 4 of its last 5 games
  • The Over is 27-12-1 in Vancouver’s last 40 home games
  • The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings

Probable goalies: Rinne, Markstrom

Devils Logo VS Pick Kings Logo
Game: Devils @ Kings Lean
Time: 10:30PM ET
Lean: Under 5.5 -110

Reasons to bet New Jersey: The Devils have won 4 of their last 5 games in LA. The Kings are in yet another scoring slump, scoring just 7 regulation time goals in their last 5 games and potting 2 or less in 7 of their last 9.

Reasons to bet Los Angeles: The Kings tend to beat up struggling teams, winning 12 of their last 17 against opponents with a winning percentage under .400. New Jersey is 2-10-1 on the road and has lost 8 of 9 overall.

Other things to know:

  • New Jersey has won 4 of the last 6 meetings and 6 of 9
  • New Jersey has scored 3+ goals in 5 of its last 7 games
  • New Jersey has allowed 4+ goals in 6 straight games
  • LA has allowed 10 goals in its last 6 games, excluding empty netters
  • The Over is 6-1 in New Jersey’s last 7 games
  • The Over is 15-5-1 in New Jersey’s last 21 road games
  • The Under is 5-0 in LA’s last 5 games
  • The Under is 18-7-3 in the last 28 meetings

Probable goalies: Kinkaid, Quick

 

Good luck!

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