There’s 13 games in the National Hockey League today, beginning with an early-afternoon clash between the Senators and Sabres in Buffalo.
Time’s a little limited once again today so we’re going with writeups for our three plays tonight, along with a list of opinions on the other games.
Good luck and enjoy the action!
This is more of a fade of the Capitals than a play on the Stars, although Dallas has won two straight on the road (at Montreal and at Toronto), limiting its opponents to one goal in each of those games.
So why are we going against Washington here at home? Well, the big reason is that the Capitals are giving up a ton of goals right now (3+ in 7 of their last 8). When you’re fishing the puck out of your own net that often, it’s hard to win in regulation time, which explains how the Caps have won in regulation just once in their last eight. Now they return home from a four-game road trip that began out west and ended poorly Thursday in Montreal, blowing a third-period lead and giving up the winner in the final minute of regulation.
Dallas has fared well in recent meetings with the Caps, scoring at least 3 goals in 9 consecutive meetings and winning 6 of its last 7 trips to Washington. The one game the Stars didn’t win in Washington was last year, and that game was tied 3-3 with under 5 minutes to go in the third period. This is Dallas’ third straight road game, but the Stars have had plenty of rest on the trip so far and their opponents on this trip (Montreal, Toronto, Washington) aren’t that far apart so we’re not concerned about travel taking its toll. We’ll back Dallas to at least get this game into overtime, although we won’t be surprised at all to see the Stars get the outright win as well.
Probable goalies: Bishop, Holtby
The Hurricanes routinely get a lot of love from the oddsmakers because of their strong Corsi stats, and they’ve fired at least 39 shots on net in each of their last 9 games (including 95 over the last 2). But at some point, you’ve got to put the puck in the net, and that’s something the Canes haven’t been doing effectively at all. In fact, over their last 8 games, they’ve scored just 15 times in regulation (not counting empty netters). Simply put, there’s a lot of offensive frustration right now in that Carolina room.
Vegas is dealing with some offensive issues of its own, issues that have lasted basically all season. The defending Western Conference champions are averaging just 2.23 goals per game so far in 2018-19, and they’ve been limited to 2 regulation time goals or less in 7 of their last 10 (excluding empty netters). But if there’s a bright side in Vegas, it’s the way the Knights have played defensively, holding opponents under 30 shots in 10 straight games (and under 27 in seven of those 10).
With both teams struggling to find the net and Carolina on the tail end of a back-to-back, we’ll back the Under here.
Probable goalies: Darling, Fleury
The Flyers have been better on the road so far this year (4-3) than they have been at home (2-4), and strong starts have been a big reason why. Through eight games on the highway, Philly has outscored its opponents 9-6 in the opening frame while outshooting them by an average of nearly 2. The Flyers are also in revenge mode for a humiliating 8-2 loss they suffered against the Sharks a couple of weeks ago in Philadelphia. With Philly looking to complete a road sweep of California teams for the first time in its history, we expect the Flyers to come out with plenty of jump.
San Jose had a six-game point streak snapped Thursday with a 4-1 loss to Columbus, but the Sharks are also in a little bit of a funk. That loss to the Jackets marked the fifth straight game San Jose has allowed 3 or more goals, and the Sharks haven’t won in regulation time since a 5-4 win in Nashville Oct. 23. They also haven’t gotten untracked at home, winning just two of their first five games at the Tank.
The Flyers should be dogged to win the first period tonight, but not by this much. We’ll take a shot at the value here on a Philly team playing with lots of confidence at the moment.
Probable goalies: Elliott, Jones
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